Inter Pipeline / Brookfield hostile bid

Brookfield Infrastructure (TSX: BIP.UN) is offering C$17.00 to $18.25/share for Inter Pipeline (TSX: IPL).

Inter Pipeline is a relatively small pipeline operator, with well-placed lines criss-crossing Alberta and Saskatchewan with oil and gas and natural gas liquid refining capacity. They have spent a ton of money on a polypropylene plant which was a fairly game-changing move for the company strategically, representing a horizontal move into refining petrochemical products. The quantum of debt they took out to build this plant is such that their leverage is quite high given their existing financial situation. The rest of the pipeline business is solid. They had a storage operation in Sweden and Denmark which they also are in the process of disposing of.

I’ll reserve judgement other than stating that I have consistently noted that Brookfield tends to try to acquire things for about 15-20% less than what such entities normally would/should be bought out for. I’m not criticizing their actions (it works very well for them!) but if I was a shareholder in a target of Brookfield, I would be very cautious on valuation.

The next comparator in this space would be Keyera (TSX:KEY), which is in a similar space but its geography is concentrated in the Montney/Deep Basin area of Alberta (the area hugging east of the Rocky Mountains). Next up would be Pembina Pipeline (TSX: PPL) but they have been the positive recipient of the entrails of Kinder Morgan’s Canadian unit, and are considerably bigger in scope.

We have seen a ton of consolidation in the oil and gas space – just yesterday, ARC (TSX: ARX) and 7 Generations (TSX: VII) announced a nearly equal share swap merger. The list of individual names in the public space is shrinking by the week.

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Glad that IPL had guts to reject this offer.

I see different numbers in the news, IPL statement is “…in the range of $17.00 to $18.25 per share”, while Brookfield release states “…for C$16.50 per Share”. What is the true number here?
They’ve rejected kind of $30 offer in 2019 thus even $18.25 seems low now.
Why so much attention for IPL, is Polypropylene Plant something of large hidden value?

this is assuming due-diligence:

“Brookfield Infrastructure remains open to engaging directly with the Company on fair and balanced terms. Brookfield Infrastructure has made prior proposals to the Company in good faith, with an objective of receiving access to confirmatory due diligence to support a valuation for the Company above the Offer, indicatively in the range of C$17.00 to C$18.25 per IPL share.”

Yeah, thanks for clarification!

I’m under the impression Brookfield is pretty good at their “vulture investing” and picking up targets that are over leveraged / distressed. However, doesn’t feel like those gains flow to the regular investor.

19% CAGR for the last 20 years isn’t enough “gain flow to the regular investor” for you?

be interesting to see if the “strategic review” leads to anything over the next week or so. Globe today has article downing the likelihood of a white knight coming in to raise the price. But Globe always sings the praises of BAM

I agree. One weird thing is that IPL gladly accepted $19.45 all-share deal, while previously was “offended” by BAM’s $17 – 18.25 all cash deal. Not a big upside, remembering they were offered $30 couple of years ago…

Let’s hope. Predatory capitalism on behalf of the idle rich is so 19th century.