Retailers going belly-up

So far of note: J. Crew (clothing), Neiman Marcus (sort of like HBC – higher end generalized department store), Aldo (shoes).

Pier 1 (homewares) didn’t even need the Coronavirus to take it down.

These are all American, but in Canada some other notables (it’s actually odd how there aren’t a lot of retail companies publicly traded on the TSX – I’m excluding the food-related companies here):

Reitmans (TSX: RET.A) – stock trading at 12 cents – this one isn’t as clear-cut, mainly because at the end of January 2020 they had $89 million in cash in the bank, and the only liabilities were their massive lease payments outstanding. Their business (mid-stream business casual women’s fashions) is a terrible sector. They did caution “the Company estimates that it will need financing to meet its current and future financial obligations”, which is never something you want to be reading, but a bit paradoxical given their still relatively strong cash position. At a market cap of just under $6 million, the market is saying this one is worth way more dead than alive.

Roots (TSX: ROOT) – looks pretty ugly. Debt on the balance sheet combined with an operation that’s not making money, means they’ll have to get more credit in order to continue. Margins are decreasing, expenses are rising, it isn’t looking very pleasant.

Indigo (TSX: IDG) – The only big debt they have is their lease payments, while their retail operation isn’t bleeding THAT much. It’s kind of surprising to think on a normal full-year cycle they do make money. But from March 1, 2018, their stock graph has been a 30-degree ski slope downhill. It’s rare to see declines this smooth. Also, at the end of December 2019, they have $66 million in unredeemed gift card balances. Amazing.

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Am i crazy to think that even after the recent drop, these stocks are still great short oportunity!?! (Other than Reitmans of course)