Rogers Sugar

The last little bit of my longest-term holding, Rogers Sugar (TSX: RSI) I have unloaded today. The company is very well run, but substantially all of its free cash flow is sent out the window in dividends – at a yield of roughly 6-6.1%, historically this is expensive and by virtue of being in the sugar refining industry, isn’t exactly in a position to dramatically expand revenues and earnings.

Investors are paying bond-like premiums for equity-like returns. At the rate that yield-chasing is going, investors might even bid up the company to 5.5% or even 5%, but I won’t have any part of it. The golden moment was when in early 2009 it was trading at $3/unit and I did load up during this time since the stable 15% pre-tax returns made much more sense in terms of valuation. The only problem was that most other equities at that time were also exhibiting high risk-reward potential!

3 thoughts on “Rogers Sugar”

  1. I’ve been struggling with the same issue on a lot of REITs and former trusts. Sold out of almost all of that now, I just can’t wrap my head around accepting equity risk (even if they are on the stable end of the equity spectrum) for low/no growth and 6% yield. I was more than happy to take those risks at 8%, and maybe even 7%, but these are just getting pricey in my eyes now.

  2. Thanks for this post. I’m still holding Rogers. I think your view of the company is right–dividend no growth.

    For me, it is a hold as I am trying to maintain regular income and it provides a little diversification.

  3. My personal proxy for the entire commercial Canadian real estate market (and I realize this is very unscientific) is to just look at RioCan units – currently 5.3% now. Safer yields are held in more senior securities!

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